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200 Million Barrels Miracle: 5 Energy Security Crises Revealed by the 'Very Lucky' Tanker That Dramatically Escaped Just Before the Hormuz Blockade

A Korea-bound supertanker loaded with 2 million barrels of crude oil dramatically sped through the Strait of Hormuz just before Iran's blockade declaration, making headlines worldwide. Daily transits through the strait have plummeted from 80 vessels to just 2, while 30 Korean ships remain stranded nearby and President Trump has pledged U.S. Navy escorts.

A supertanker carrying 2 million barrels passes through the Hormuz Strait
A supertanker carrying 2 million barrels passes through the Hormuz Strait
A tanker lived up to its name — 'Very Lucky' — and made it back alive. The strait it passed through is now the frontline of the energy war the entire world is watching.

TL;DR

  • Just before Iran's declaration of a Strait of Hormuz blockade, a Korea-bound supertanker carrying 2 million barrels of crude oil sped up and dramatically passed through.
  • The number of vessels transiting the strait has plummeted from 80 per day to just 2 — effectively near zero.
  • 30 Korean vessels are stranded in nearby waters, with over 150 ships anchored outside the strait awaiting passage.
  • President Trump declared that "the U.S. Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible if necessary," and directed the DFC to provide war-risk insurance.
  • Korea imports over 70% of its crude oil from the Middle East, and a prolonged Hormuz blockade would directly impact energy supply.

1. The Facts: How the 'Very Lucky' Escaped

Immediately after Iran declared a blockade of the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for U.S.-Israeli airstrikes (Operation Epic Fury), JTBC reported exclusively that a Korea-bound supertanker increased its speed to maximum and passed through the strait just before the blockade took effect. The tanker was carrying approximately 2 million barrels (about 300 million liters) of crude oil.

The average width of the Strait of Hormuz is only about 50 km, and the depth and shipping lanes through which Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) can navigate mostly pass through Iranian territorial waters. With Iran warning it would "sink any vessel attempting to pass," the tanker sped through — and its name happened to be 'Very Lucky,' triggering an explosion of reactions across Korean media and social media saying "it lived up to its name."

MBC News surpassed 750,000 views on YouTube within just 12 hours of posting the story.


2. Why This Issue Went Viral Right Now

There are three reasons why a simple story about a ship passing through a strait went this viral.

  1. Emotional resonance — The name 'Very Lucky,' and the nail-biting scene of a ship speeding through a blockade, create cinematic tension.
  2. Direct personal impact — The reality hits home that if this crude oil had not reached Korea, there could have been disruptions to refinery, petrochemical, and heating oil supplies.
  3. Following the KOSPI -12% and KRW/USD breaking 1,500 — With markets collapsing in a single day on March 4, the energy issue is emerging as the next crisis.

3. Context & Background: The Structure of the Hormuz Crisis

Strategic Importance of the Strait of Hormuz

According to the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA), as of 2024, over 80% of crude oil and LNG transported through the Hormuz went to China, India, Japan, and South Korea. Approximately 20% of global crude oil supply, along with significant volumes of LNG, passes through this 50 km bottleneck.

Current Situation

  • Vessel transits: 80 per day → currently 2 (effectively blockaded)
  • Over 150 tankers anchored in waters outside the strait awaiting entry
  • 30 Korean vessels stranded in waters near the Hormuz (Yonhap News, 3/3 report)
  • Brent crude around $80 per barrel, with intraday spikes followed by some stabilization

Trump's Response

President Trump stated on Truth Social that "if necessary, the U.S. Navy will begin escorting tankers through the Strait of Hormuz as soon as possible." He also directed the U.S. International Development Finance Corporation (DFC) to provide war-risk insurance and financial guarantees. This is interpreted as a move to calm surging oil prices while reassuring energy allies.


4. Korea's Energy Vulnerabilities: 5 Core Risks

① Over 70% of Crude Oil from the Middle East

Korea's energy self-sufficiency rate is extremely low, with over 70% of crude oil imports sourced from the Middle East. If the Hormuz is blocked, securing alternative supply sources quickly would be very difficult.

② LNG Import Disruptions → Soaring Electricity & Heating Bills

Qatar is the world's largest LNG exporter and accounts for a significant portion of Korea's LNG imports. Iranian drone strikes on Qatar's Ras Laffan LNG complex have already caused spot gas prices to surge.

③ 30 Korean Vessels in 'Hostage' Status

Currently, 30 Korean merchant ships are operating in waters near the Hormuz, unable to resume operations amid the threat of Iranian attacks. Ship insurance premiums are also skyrocketing.

④ Risk of Refinery & Petrochemical Plant Disruptions

Korea's four major refiners (SK Innovation, GS Caltex, S-OIL, and Essoil) all primarily use Middle Eastern crude. The time they can sustain operations using strategic reserves is limited, and if the blockade is prolonged, capacity utilization cuts are inevitable.

⑤ Additional Upward Pressure on KRW/USD Exchange Rate

A chain reaction of rising global oil prices → deteriorating current account → weakening Korean won could follow. Already, the KRW/USD exchange rate surged to 1,506 won in the early hours of March 4, its highest level since the 2009 financial crisis 17 years ago.


5. Outlook: How Long Will This Last?

Short-term scenario (1–2 weeks): U.S. Navy escorts begin + possibility of Trump-Iran negotiations → partial resumption of strait transit possible. Oil price stabilizes in the $80–90 range.

Medium-term scenario (1–3 months): Prolonged war + replacement of Iran's core leadership (Mojtaba Khamenei) → hardline stance maintained, selective Hormuz blockade continues. Oil price could break $100.

Worst-case scenario (3+ months): Full Hormuz blockade prolonged → Korea's 90-day strategic reserves depleted, refinery disruptions, 30–50% upward pressure on electricity and heating bills.

The government's position is that "oil and gas reserves are sufficient and there are no short-term supply issues," but President Lee Jae-myung has scheduled a special Cabinet meeting on March 5 to assess the fallout from the Middle East situation.


Checklist: What Individuals Can Do Right Now

Check household emergency energy supplies (secure emergency gas burners and batteries)
Monitor energy-related stocks/ETFs (watch for sharp swings in refinery shares)
If you have overseas travel plans, check rising fuel surcharges linked to jet fuel prices
If you live in or plan to visit the Middle East, regularly check the Ministry of Foreign Affairs travel alerts
For business operators, proactively develop plans to diversify raw material sourcing


Image Credit

  • Cover image: Supertanker AbQaiq — Wikimedia Commons, Public Domain (photographed by U.S. Coast Guard)

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